How quantitative easing works: evidence on the refinancing channel
File(s)How QE Works.pdf (2.61 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Di Maggio, Marco
Kermani, Amir
Palmer, Christopher J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We document the transmission of large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve to the real economy using rich borrower-linked mortgage-market data and an identification strategy based on mortgage market segmentation. We find that central bank QE1 MBS purchases substantially increased refinancing activity, reduced interest payments for refinancing households, led to a boom in equity extraction, and increased aggregate consumption. Relative to QE-ineligible jumbo mortgages, QE-eligible conforming mortgage interest rates fell by an additional 40 bp and refinancing volumes increased by an additional 56% during QE1. We estimate that households refinancing during QE1 increased their durable consumption by 12%. Our results highlight that the transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the real economy depends crucially on the composition of assets purchased and the degree of segmentation in the market.
Date Issued
2020-05
Date Acceptance
2019-12-01
Citation
The Review of Economic Studies, 2020, 87 (3), pp.1498-1528
ISSN
0034-6527
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
1498
End Page
1528
Journal / Book Title
The Review of Economic Studies
Volume
87
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2019 Oxford University Press. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in The Review of Economic Studies following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Christopher J Palmer, How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel, The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 87, Issue 3, May 2020, Pages 1498–1528 is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz060
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz060
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-12-11