Estimating effective population size from temporally spaced samples with a novel, efficient maximum-likelihood algorithm
Author(s)
Hui, T-YJ
Burt, A
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The effective population size Embedded Image is a key parameter in population genetics and evolutionary biology, as it quantifies the expected distribution of changes in allele frequency due to genetic drift. Several methods of estimating Embedded Image have been described, the most direct of which uses allele frequencies measured at two or more time points. A new likelihood-based estimator Embedded Image for contemporary effective population size using temporal data is developed in this article. The existing likelihood methods are computationally intensive and unable to handle the case when the underlying Embedded Image is large. This article tries to work around this problem by using a hidden Markov algorithm and applying continuous approximations to allele frequencies and transition probabilities. Extensive simulations are run to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimator Embedded Image, and the results show that it is more accurate and has lower variance than previous methods. The new estimator also reduces the computational time by at least 1000-fold and relaxes the upper bound of Embedded Image to several million, hence allowing the estimation of larger Embedded Image. Finally, we demonstrate how this algorithm can cope with nonconstant Embedded Image scenarios and be used as a likelihood-ratio test to test for the equality of Embedded Image throughout the sampling horizon. An R package “NB” is now available for download to implement the method described in this article.
Date Issued
2015-05-07
Date Acceptance
2015-02-26
Citation
Genetics, 2015, 200 (1), pp.285-293
ISSN
1943-2631
Publisher
Genetics Society of America
Start Page
285
End Page
293
Journal / Book Title
Genetics
Volume
200
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2015 the Genetics Society of America
Available freely online through the author-supported open access option.
Available freely online through the author-supported open access option.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000354071000021&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Genetics & Heredity
effective population size
genetic drift
maximum-likelihood estimation
GENETIC DRIFT
ALLELE FREQUENCIES
MIGRATION
RATES
MODEL
Algorithms
Genetics, Population
Likelihood Functions
Models, Genetic
Population
Sample Size
Time
Developmental Biology
0604 Genetics
Publication Status
Published