Probabilistic framework for optimal experimental campaigns in the presence of operational constraints
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The predictive capability of any mathematical model is intertwined with the quality of experimental
data collected for its calibration. Model-based design of experiments helps compute maximally
informative campaigns for model calibration. But in early stages of model development it is crucial to
account for model uncertainties to mitigate the risk of uninformative or infeasible experiments. This
article presents a new method to design optimal experimental campaigns subject to hard constraints
under uncertainty, alongside a tractable computational framework. This computational framework
involves two stages, whereby the feasible experimental space is sampled using a probabilistic approach
in the first stage, and a continuous-effort optimal experiment design is determined by searching over
the sampled feasible space in the second stage. The tractability of this methodology is demonstrated
on a case study involving the exothermic esterification of priopionic anhydride with significant risk of
thermal runaway during experimentation. An implementation is made freely available based on the
Python packages DEUS and Pydex.
data collected for its calibration. Model-based design of experiments helps compute maximally
informative campaigns for model calibration. But in early stages of model development it is crucial to
account for model uncertainties to mitigate the risk of uninformative or infeasible experiments. This
article presents a new method to design optimal experimental campaigns subject to hard constraints
under uncertainty, alongside a tractable computational framework. This computational framework
involves two stages, whereby the feasible experimental space is sampled using a probabilistic approach
in the first stage, and a continuous-effort optimal experiment design is determined by searching over
the sampled feasible space in the second stage. The tractability of this methodology is demonstrated
on a case study involving the exothermic esterification of priopionic anhydride with significant risk of
thermal runaway during experimentation. An implementation is made freely available based on the
Python packages DEUS and Pydex.
Date Issued
2022-07-22
Date Acceptance
2022-07-20
Citation
Reaction Chemistry and Engineering, 2022, 7 (11), pp.2359-2374
ISSN
2058-9883
Publisher
Royal Society of Chemistry
Start Page
2359
End Page
2374
Journal / Book Title
Reaction Chemistry and Engineering
Volume
7
Issue
11
Copyright Statement
© The Royal Society of Chemistry 2022. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence.
License URL
Identifier
https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2022/RE/D1RE00465D
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-07-22