A Bayesian spatial random effects model characterisation of tumour heterogeneity implemented using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation
File(s)f1000TumourManusV3.pdf (1.45 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
King, MD
Grech-Sollars, M
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The focus of this study is the development of a statistical modelling procedure for characterising
intra-tumour heterogeneity, motivated by recent clinical literature indicating that a variety
of tumours exhibit a considerable degree of genetic spatial variability. A formal spatial statistical
model has been developed and used to characterise the structural heterogeneity of a
number of supratentorial primitive neuroecto-dermal tumours (PNETs), based on diffusionweighted
magnetic resonance imaging. Particular attention is paid to the spatial dependence
of diffusion close to the tumour boundary, in order to determine whether the data provide
statistical evidence to support the proposition that water diffusivity in the boundary region of
some tumours exhibits a deterministic dependence on distance from the boundary, in excess
of an underlying random 2D spatial heterogeneity in diffusion. Tumour spatial heterogeneity
measures were derived from the diffusion parameter estimates obtained using a Bayesian
spatial random effects model. The analyses were implemented using Markov chain Monte
Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Posterior predictive simulation was used to assess the adequacy
of the statistical model. The main observations are that the previously reported relationship
between diffusion and boundary proximity remains observable and achieves statistical significance
after adjusting for an underlying random 2D spatial heterogeneity in the diffusion
model parameters. A comparison of the magnitude of the boundary-distance effect with the
underlying random 2D boundary heterogeneity suggests that both are important sources of
variation in the vicinity of the boundary. No consistent pattern emerges from a comparison of
the boundary and core spatial heterogeneity, with no indication of a consistently greater level
of heterogeneity in one region compared with the other. The results raise the possibility that
DWI might provide a surrogate marker of intra-tumour genetic regional heterogeneity, which
would provide a powerful tool with applications in both patient management and in cancer
research.
intra-tumour heterogeneity, motivated by recent clinical literature indicating that a variety
of tumours exhibit a considerable degree of genetic spatial variability. A formal spatial statistical
model has been developed and used to characterise the structural heterogeneity of a
number of supratentorial primitive neuroecto-dermal tumours (PNETs), based on diffusionweighted
magnetic resonance imaging. Particular attention is paid to the spatial dependence
of diffusion close to the tumour boundary, in order to determine whether the data provide
statistical evidence to support the proposition that water diffusivity in the boundary region of
some tumours exhibits a deterministic dependence on distance from the boundary, in excess
of an underlying random 2D spatial heterogeneity in diffusion. Tumour spatial heterogeneity
measures were derived from the diffusion parameter estimates obtained using a Bayesian
spatial random effects model. The analyses were implemented using Markov chain Monte
Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Posterior predictive simulation was used to assess the adequacy
of the statistical model. The main observations are that the previously reported relationship
between diffusion and boundary proximity remains observable and achieves statistical significance
after adjusting for an underlying random 2D spatial heterogeneity in the diffusion
model parameters. A comparison of the magnitude of the boundary-distance effect with the
underlying random 2D boundary heterogeneity suggests that both are important sources of
variation in the vicinity of the boundary. No consistent pattern emerges from a comparison of
the boundary and core spatial heterogeneity, with no indication of a consistently greater level
of heterogeneity in one region compared with the other. The results raise the possibility that
DWI might provide a surrogate marker of intra-tumour genetic regional heterogeneity, which
would provide a powerful tool with applications in both patient management and in cancer
research.
Date Issued
2016-08-26
Date Acceptance
2016-08-01
Citation
F1000 Research, 2016, 5
ISSN
2046-1402
Publisher
F1000Research
Journal / Book Title
F1000 Research
Volume
5
Copyright Statement
Copyright: © 2016 King MD and Grech-Sollars M. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Data associated with the article are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Zero "No rights reserved" data waiver (CC0 1.0 Public domain dedication).
License URL
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
2082
Date Publish Online
2016-08-26