Contingent convertible bonds with the default risk premium
File(s)1-s2.0-S1057521918303016-main.pdf (1.48 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Jang, Hyun Jin
Na, Young Hoon
Zheng, Harry
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Contingent convertible bonds (CoCos) are hybrid instruments characterized by both debt and equity. CoCos are automatically converted into equity or written down when a predefined trigger event occurs. The present study quantifies the issuing bank's default risk that only manifests in the post-conversion period for pricing CoCos depending on a loss-absorbing method. This work aims to reflect the distinct features of equity-conversion CoCos - in contrast to a write-down CoCos - in a valuation framework. Accordingly, we propose a model to compute the ratio of common equity Tier 1 (CET1), which is composed of core capital and risky assets, by employing a geometric Brownian motion and a random variable. Then, we formulate the post-conversion risk premium by measuring the probability with which the bank's CET1 ratio breaches a regulatory default threshold after conversion. Finally, we empirically examine a positive value of the post-conversion risk premium embedded in the market prices of equity-conversion CoCos.
Date Issued
2018-10
Date Acceptance
2018-07-03
Citation
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2018, 59, pp.77-93
ISSN
1057-5219
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
77
End Page
93
Journal / Book Title
International Review of Financial Analysis
Volume
59
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/)
License URL
Subjects
Social Sciences
Business, Finance
Business & Economics
Contingent convertible bond
Capital-ratio trigger
Conversion time
Equity-conversion CoCo
Post-conversion risk premium
1502 Banking, Finance And Investment
1501 Accounting, Auditing And Accountability
1801 Law
Finance
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-07-07