North West London Covid-19 Vaccination Programme: Real-world evidence for Vaccine uptake and effectiveness: Retrospective Cohort Study
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Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background:
On March 11, 2020 the World Health Organisation declared the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) syndrome, as a pandemic. The UK mass vaccination programme commenced on December 08, 2020 vaccinating groups of the population deemed to be most vulnerable to severe COVID-19 infection.
Objective:
To assess the early vaccine administration coverage and outcome data across an integrated care system in North West London (NWL), leveraging a unique population-level care dataset. Vaccine effectiveness of a single dose of the Oxford/Astrazeneca and Pfizer/BioNtech vaccines were compared.
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study identified 2,183,939 individuals eligible for COVID-19 vaccination between December 08, 2020 and February 24, 2021 within a primary, secondary and community care integrated care dataset. These data were used to assess vaccination hesitancy across ethnicity, gender and socio-economic deprivation measures (Pearson Product-Moment Correlations); investigated COVID-19 transmission related to vaccination hubs; and assessed the early effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination (after a single dose) using time to event analyses with multivariable Cox regression analysis to investigate if vaccination independently predicted positive SARS-CoV-2 in those vaccinated compared to those unvaccinated.
Results:
In the study 5.88% (24,332/413,919) of individuals declined and did not receive a vaccination. Black or Black British individuals had the highest rate of declining a vaccine at 16.14% (4,337/26,870). There was a strong negative association between socio-economic deprivation and rate of declining vaccination (r=-0.94, P=.002) with 13.5% (1980/14571) of individuals declining vaccination in the most deprived areas compared to 0.98% (869/9609) in the least. In the first six days after vaccination 344 of 389587 individuals tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (0.09%). The rate increased to 0.13% (525/389,243) between days 7 and 13, before then gradually falling week on week. At 28 days post vaccination there was a 74% (HR 0.26 (0.19-0.35)) and 78% (HR 0.22 (0.18-0.27)) reduction in risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 for individuals that received the Oxford/Astrazeneca and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines respectively, when compared with unvaccinated individuals. A very low proportion of hospital admissions were seen in vaccinated individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (0.01% of all patients vaccinated) providing evidence for vaccination effectiveness, after a single dose.
Conclusions:
There was no definitive evidence to suggest COVID-19 was transmitted as a result of vaccination hubs during the vaccine administration roll-out in NWL, and the risk of contracting COVID-19 and/or becoming hospitalised after vaccination has been demonstrated to be very low in the vaccinated population. This study provides further evidence that a single dose of either the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine or the Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine is effective at reducing the risk of testing positive for COVID-19 up to 60 days across all age groups, ethnic groups, and risk categories in an urban UK population.
On March 11, 2020 the World Health Organisation declared the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) syndrome, as a pandemic. The UK mass vaccination programme commenced on December 08, 2020 vaccinating groups of the population deemed to be most vulnerable to severe COVID-19 infection.
Objective:
To assess the early vaccine administration coverage and outcome data across an integrated care system in North West London (NWL), leveraging a unique population-level care dataset. Vaccine effectiveness of a single dose of the Oxford/Astrazeneca and Pfizer/BioNtech vaccines were compared.
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study identified 2,183,939 individuals eligible for COVID-19 vaccination between December 08, 2020 and February 24, 2021 within a primary, secondary and community care integrated care dataset. These data were used to assess vaccination hesitancy across ethnicity, gender and socio-economic deprivation measures (Pearson Product-Moment Correlations); investigated COVID-19 transmission related to vaccination hubs; and assessed the early effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination (after a single dose) using time to event analyses with multivariable Cox regression analysis to investigate if vaccination independently predicted positive SARS-CoV-2 in those vaccinated compared to those unvaccinated.
Results:
In the study 5.88% (24,332/413,919) of individuals declined and did not receive a vaccination. Black or Black British individuals had the highest rate of declining a vaccine at 16.14% (4,337/26,870). There was a strong negative association between socio-economic deprivation and rate of declining vaccination (r=-0.94, P=.002) with 13.5% (1980/14571) of individuals declining vaccination in the most deprived areas compared to 0.98% (869/9609) in the least. In the first six days after vaccination 344 of 389587 individuals tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (0.09%). The rate increased to 0.13% (525/389,243) between days 7 and 13, before then gradually falling week on week. At 28 days post vaccination there was a 74% (HR 0.26 (0.19-0.35)) and 78% (HR 0.22 (0.18-0.27)) reduction in risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 for individuals that received the Oxford/Astrazeneca and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines respectively, when compared with unvaccinated individuals. A very low proportion of hospital admissions were seen in vaccinated individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (0.01% of all patients vaccinated) providing evidence for vaccination effectiveness, after a single dose.
Conclusions:
There was no definitive evidence to suggest COVID-19 was transmitted as a result of vaccination hubs during the vaccine administration roll-out in NWL, and the risk of contracting COVID-19 and/or becoming hospitalised after vaccination has been demonstrated to be very low in the vaccinated population. This study provides further evidence that a single dose of either the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine or the Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine is effective at reducing the risk of testing positive for COVID-19 up to 60 days across all age groups, ethnic groups, and risk categories in an urban UK population.
Date Issued
2021-09-17
Date Acceptance
2021-07-08
Citation
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, 2021, 7 (9), pp.1-17
ISSN
2369-2960
Publisher
JMIR Publications
Start Page
1
End Page
17
Journal / Book Title
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
Volume
7
Issue
9
Copyright Statement
©Ben Glampson, James Brittain, Amit Kaura, Abdulrahim Mulla, Luca Mercuri, Stephen J Brett, Paul Aylin, Tessa Sandall, Ian
Goodman, Julian Redhead, Kavitha Saravanakumar, Erik K Mayer. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
(https://publichealth.jmir.org), 17.09.2021. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction
in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, is properly cited. The complete
bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://publichealth.jmir.org, as well as this copyright and license
information must be included
Goodman, Julian Redhead, Kavitha Saravanakumar, Erik K Mayer. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
(https://publichealth.jmir.org), 17.09.2021. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction
in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, is properly cited. The complete
bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://publichealth.jmir.org, as well as this copyright and license
information must be included
License URL
Sponsor
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust- BRC Funding
National Institute for Health Research
Cancer Research UK
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
NHS England
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust- BRC Funding
Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust- BRC Funding
The Health Foundation
NHS North West London CCG
Identifier
https://publichealth.jmir.org/2021/9/e30010
Grant Number
RDB04
n/a
25310
FR775
WSSY_P85168
RDF01
RDF01
452981
XXKSARAVANAKUMAR
Subjects
COVID-19
health informatics
medical informatics
real-word evidence
vaccination
vaccine
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2021-09-17