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  4. Climate-change related regime shifts have altered spatial synchrony of plankton dynamics in the North Sea
 
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Climate-change related regime shifts have altered spatial synchrony of plankton dynamics in the North Sea
File(s)
Defriez_et_al-2016-Global_Change_Biology.pdf (425.32 KB)
Published version
Defriez_etal_SupplementaryMaterial.pdf (740.61 KB)
Supporting information
Author(s)
Defriez, E
Sheppard, LW
Reid, PC
Reuman, DC
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
During the 1980s the North Sea plankton community underwent a well-documented ecosystem regime shift, including both spatial changes (northward species range shifts) and temporal changes (increases in the total abundances of warmer-water species). This regime shift has been attributed to climate change. Plankton provide a link between climate and higher-trophic-level organisms, which can forage on large spatial and temporal scales. It is therefore important to understand not only whether climate change affects purely spatial or temporal aspects of plankton dynamics, but also whether it affects spatio-temporal aspects such as metapopulation synchrony. If plankton synchrony is altered, higher-trophic-level feeding patterns may be modified. A second motivation for investigating changes in synchrony is that the possibility of such alterations has been examined for few organisms, in spite of the fact that synchrony is ubiquitous and of major importance in ecology. This study uses correlation coefficients and spectral analysis to investigate whether synchrony changed between the periods 1959-1980 and 1989-2010. Twenty-three plankton taxa, sea surface temperature (SST), and wind speed were examined. Results revealed that synchrony in SST and plankton was altered. Changes were idiosyncratic, and were not explained by changes in abundance. Changes in the synchrony of Calanus helgolandicus and Para-pseudocalanus spp appeared to be driven by changes in SST synchrony. This study is one of few to document alterations of synchrony and climate-change impacts on synchrony. We discuss why climate-change impacts on synchrony may well be more common and consequential than previously recognized.
Date Issued
2016-03-07
Date Acceptance
2015-12-22
Citation
Global Change Biology, 2016, 22 (6), pp.2069-2080
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/28824
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13229
ISSN
1365-2486
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
2069
End Page
2080
Journal / Book Title
Global Change Biology
Volume
22
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© 2016 The Auth ors. Global Change Biology Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use,distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Sponsor
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Grant Number
NE/I011889/1
Subjects
Ecology
06 Biological Sciences
05 Environmental Sciences
Publication Status
Published
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