A fuzzy dynamic inoperability input-output model for strategic risk management in global production networks
File(s)1-s2.0-S0925527316300871-main.pdf (1.46 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Niknejad, A
Petrovic, D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Strategic decision making in Global Production Networks (GPNs) is quite challenging, especially due to the unavailability of precise quantitative knowledge, variety of relevant risk factors that need to be considered and the interdependencies that can exist between multiple partners across the globe. In this paper, a risk evaluation method for GPNs based on a novel Fuzzy Dynamic Inoperability Input Output Model (Fuzzy DIIM) is proposed. A fuzzy multi-criteria approach is developed to determine interdependencies between nodes in a GPN using experts’ knowledge. An efficient and accurate method based on fuzzy interval calculus in the Fuzzy DIIM is proposed. The risk evaluation method takes into account various risk scenarios relevant to the GPN and likelihoods of their occurrences. A case of beverage production from food industry is used to showcase the application of the proposed risk evaluation method. It is demonstrated how it can be used for GPN strategic decision making. The impact of risk on inoperability of alternative GPN configurations considering different risk scenarios is analysed.
Date Issued
2016-05-21
Date Acceptance
2016-05-20
Citation
International Journal of Production Economics, 2016, 179, pp.44-58
ISSN
0925-5273
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
44
End Page
58
Journal / Book Title
International Journal of Production Economics
Volume
179
Copyright Statement
© 2016, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Engineering, Industrial
Engineering, Manufacturing
Operations Research & Management Science
Engineering
Risk management
Inoperability Input Output Models
Global Production Networks
Supply Chain Management Risk
Fuzzy arithmetic
Dynamic models
SUPPLY CHAIN NETWORKS
PROPAGATION
MD Multidisciplinary
Operations Research
Publication Status
Published