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  4. Cardiovascular disease prognostic models in Latin America and the Caribbean: a systematic review
 
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Cardiovascular disease prognostic models in Latin America and the Caribbean: a systematic review
File(s)
1-s2.0-S2211816019300146-main.pdf (558.71 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Carrillo Larco, Rodrigo
Altez-Fernandez, Carlos
Pacheco-Barrios, Niels
Bambs, Claudia
Irazola, Vilma
more
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of deathand disability, both globallyand in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC).1,2 These trends can be improved through different strategies, modifying the distribution ofrisk factorsin the populationas a whole, i.e., a population-based prevention approach (e.g., sugar taxes), and through an overall risk-based preventionapproach.3,4 It has been argued that the latteris cost effective andmaximizesresources allocation (e.g., treatment) to those who most need them with minimal harm.5,6 However,risk-based prevention needs accurate prognostictools to identify the target population. There is some evidence that available cardiovascular risk prediction equations do not perform well in LAC,7 where cardiovascular key risk factorssuch as diabetesseem to have different strength of association with cardiovascular events.8 Therefore, it becomes necessary to identify which available equationshave undergone local scrutinyand whether new localtoolshave been developed. Even though there have been efforts to summarisecardiovascular prognosticmodels,9,10 they did not include studies written in Spanish or search engines with large LAC influence, hence reporting no results from LAC.10 Therefore, whether available cardiovascularprognostic modelshave been tested or a new model has been derived in LAC, remainslargely unknown.Consequently, we conducted a systematic review to summarise and critically appraise studies evaluating or generating prognosticmodels for cardiovascular outcomes conducted in LAC. In so doing,we provide a comprehensive list of available prognostic models, their strengths and limitations, as well as recommendations and identification of research gapsto be addressed toimprove cardiovascular prevention in LAC.
Date Issued
2019-03-06
Date Acceptance
2019-03-06
Citation
Global Heart, 2019, 14 (1), pp.81-93
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/68672
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gheart.2019.03.001
ISSN
2211-8179
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
81
End Page
93
Journal / Book Title
Global Heart
Volume
14
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2019 The Authors. Pub-lished by Elsevier Ltd. on behalf of World Heart Federation (Geneva). This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Cardiac & Cardiovascular Systems
Cardiovascular System & Cardiology
RISK PREDICTION MODELS
PROSPECTIVE COHORTS
SICK INDIVIDUALS
POOLED ANALYSIS
VALIDATION
SCORE
APPLICABILITY
EXPLANATION
PREVENTION
GUIDELINES
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-04-26
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