Scaling and correlation in financial data
File(s)9705075v3.pdf (226.77 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Cont, R
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The statistical properties of the increments x(t+T) - x(t) of a financial time series depend on the time resolution T on which the increments are considered. A non-parametric approach is used to study the scale dependence of the empirical distribution of the price increments x(t+T) - x(t) of S&P Index futures, for time scales T, ranging from a few minutes to a few days using high-frequency price data. We show that while the variance increases linearly with the timescale, the kurtosis exhibits anomalous scaling properties, indicating a departure from the iid hypothesis. Study of the dependence structure of the increments shows that although the autocorrelation function decays rapidly to zero in a few minutes, the correlation of their squares exhibits a slow power law decay with exponent 0.37, indicating persistence in the scale of fluctuations. We establish a link between the scaling behavior and the dependence structure of the increments : in particular, the anomalous scaling of kurtosis may be explained by "long memory" properties of the square of the increments.
Copyright Statement
© The Author
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/9705075v3
Subjects
cond-mat.stat-mech
adap-org
cond-mat.dis-nn
nlin.AO
physics.data-an
q-fin.ST
Notes
LATEX file + 8 postscript figures.