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  5. The role of the Southern Ocean in the global climate response to carbon emissions.
 
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The role of the Southern Ocean in the global climate response to carbon emissions.
File(s)
The role of the Southern Ocean in the global climate response to carbon emissions.pdf (2.72 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Williams, Richard G
Ceppi, Paulo
Roussenov, Vassil
Katavouta, Anna
Meijers, Andrew JS
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The effect of the Southern Ocean on global climate change is assessed using Earth system model projections following an idealized 1% annual rise in atmospheric CO2. For this scenario, the Southern Ocean plays a significant role in sequestering heat and anthropogenic carbon, accounting for 40% ± 5% of heat uptake and 44% ± 2% of anthropogenic carbon uptake over the global ocean (with the Southern Ocean defined as south of 36°S). This Southern Ocean fraction of global heat uptake is however less than in historical scenarios with marked hemispheric contrasts in radiative forcing. For this idealized scenario, inter-model differences in global and Southern Ocean heat uptake are strongly affected by physical feedbacks, especially cloud feedbacks over the globe and surface albedo feedbacks from sea-ice loss in high latitudes, through the top-of-the-atmosphere energy balance. The ocean carbon response is similar in most models with carbon storage increasing from rising atmospheric CO2, but weakly decreasing from climate change with competing ventilation and biological contributions over the Southern Ocean. The Southern Ocean affects a global climate metric, the transient climate response to emissions, accounting for 28% of its thermal contribution through its physical climate feedbacks and heat uptake, and so affects inter-model differences in meeting warming targets. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean: the state of the art and future priorities'.
Date Issued
2023-06-26
Date Acceptance
2023-01-13
Citation
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2023, 381 (2249), pp.1-35
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/104840
URL
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2022.0062
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0062
ISSN
1364-503X
Publisher
The Royal Society
Start Page
1
End Page
35
Journal / Book Title
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Volume
381
Issue
2249
Copyright Statement
© 2023 The Authors. Published by the Royal Society under the terms of theCreative Commons Attribution Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author andsource are credited.
License URL
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37150198
Subjects
carbon feedback
carbon uptake
climate feedback
climate projections
heat uptake
transient climate response to carbon emissions
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2023-05-08
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