Identification of credit risk based on cluster analysis of account behaviours
File(s)bakoben-jors2019.pdf (347.8 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Bakoben, Maha
Bellotti, Anthony
Adams, Niall
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts isimportant to the implementation of bank policies and offeringfinancial products.This paper uses cluster analysis of be-haviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk level.Account behaviour is modelled parametrically and we thenimplement the behavioural cluster analysis using a recentlyproposed dissimilarity measure of statistical model parameters.The advantage of this new measure is the explicit exploitationof uncertainty associated with parameters estimated fromstatistical models.Interesting clusters of real credit cardbehaviours data are obtained, in addition to superior predictionand forecasting of account default based on the clusteringoutcomes.
Date Issued
2020-05-01
Date Acceptance
2019-01-29
Citation
Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2020, 71 (5), pp.775-783
ISSN
0160-5682
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Start Page
775
End Page
783
Journal / Book Title
Journal of the Operational Research Society
Volume
71
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
© Operational Research Society 2019. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of the Operational Research Society on 20 Apr 2019, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01605682.2019.1582586
Subjects
Social Sciences
Science & Technology
Technology
Management
Operations Research & Management Science
Business & Economics
Behavioural credit scoring
credit behaviour clusters
clustering parameter uncertainty
default prediction
PERFORMANCE
01 Mathematical Sciences
08 Information and Computing Sciences
15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
Operations Research
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-04-20