Do changes in air transportation affect productivity? A cross country panel approach
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Published version
Author(s)
Ait Bihi Ouali, Laila
Carbo, Jose Manuel
Graham, Daniel
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper quantifies the economic impact of air transportation worldwide using two panel data methods to assess the effect of air cargo and air passenger volumes on GDP per employee (aggregate labour productivity). Fixed effects methods and instrumental variables allow us to tackle endogeneity concerns and simultaneity biases. We first use a generalized method of moments specification (GMM) on a World Bank panel dataset containing information for all countries worldwide, separated into 264 areas over the period 1990‐2017. Results show that a 10% increase in air passengers is associated with a 0.6% increase in GDP per employee. Complementary instrumental variables estimates indicate a slight negative bias in this result, yielding an effect of 0.86%. Results are very similar for different parts of the world, with elasticity estimates ranging between 0.01 and 0.04, except in North Africa and Middle Eastern countries, where effects on labour productivity are found to be insignificant. Overall, air passenger traffic has a stronger and more positive effect on GDP per employee than air cargo. We conduct a complementary analysis at the European level using Eurostat data (NUTS2) and perform an analysis on over 300 European sub‐regions. Results indicate that air transport has a positive, stronger and more significant effect on GDP per employee than air cargo, with a 10% increase in air passengers being associated with a labour productivity increase of 3.2%.
Date Issued
2020-06-22
Date Acceptance
2020-03-29
Citation
Regional Science Policy and Practice, 2020, 12 (3), pp.493-505
ISSN
1757-7802
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
493
End Page
505
Journal / Book Title
Regional Science Policy and Practice
Volume
12
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2020 The Authors. Regional Science Policy & Practice published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Regional Science Association
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Identifier
https://rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/rsp3.12280
Grant Number
EP/M027988/1
Subjects
Social Sciences
Geography
air transport
aviation
causal inference
instrumental variables
productivity
COMPETITION
AIRPORTS
SERVICE
GROWTH
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-04-17