The PRECOS framework: Measuring the impacts of the global changes on soils, water, agriculture on territories to better anticipate the future.
File(s)JEMA-2016 PRECOS.pdf (7.69 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In a context of increased land and natural resources scarcity, the possibilities for local authorities and stakeholders of anticipating evolutions or testing the impact of envisaged developments through scenario simulation are new challenges. PRECOS's approach integrates data pertaining to the fields of water and soil resources, agronomy, urbanization, land use and infrastructure etc. It is complemented by a socio-economic and regulatory analysis of the territory illustrating its constraints and stakes. A modular architecture articulates modeling software and spatial and temporal representations tools. It produces indicators in three core domains: soil degradation, water and soil resources and agricultural production. As a territory representative of numerous situations of the Mediterranean Basin (urban pressures, overconsumption of spaces, degradation of the milieus), a demonstration in the Crau's area (Southeast of France) has allowed to validate a prototype of the approach and to test its feasibility in a real life situation. Results on the Crau area have shown that, since the beginning of the 16th century, irrigated grasslands are the cornerstones of the anthropic-system, illustrating how successfully men's multi-secular efforts have maintained a balance between environment and local development. But today the ecosystem services are jeopardized firstly by urban sprawl and secondly by climate change. Pre-diagnosis in regions of Emilia-Romagna (Italy) and Valencia (Spain) show that local end-users and policy-makers are interested by this approach. The modularity of indicator calculations and the availability of geo-databases indicate that PRECOS may be up scaled in other socio-economic contexts.
Date Issued
2016-08-05
Date Acceptance
2016-07-01
Citation
Journal of Environmental Management, 2016, 181, pp.590-601
ISSN
0301-4797
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
590
End Page
601
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Environmental Management
Volume
181
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
European Institute of Innovation and Technology -
Grant Number
Climate KIC - PRECOS
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Environmental Sciences
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Soil
Water
Resources
Territory
Urban sprawl
Climate change
LIFE-CYCLE ANALYSIS
LAND-USE PATTERNS
CELLULAR-AUTOMATA
REGIONAL-SCALE
CROP MODEL
URBAN
SUSTAINABILITY
DYNAMICS
STICS
CITY
Agriculture
Climate Change
Conservation of Natural Resources
Europe
Forecasting
Humans
Models, Theoretical
Software
Water Supply
MD Multidisciplinary
Publication Status
Published