A framework for the pre-specification of statistical analysis strategies in clinical trials (Pre-SPEC)
File(s)1907.04078v1.pdf (741.11 KB)
Working paper
Author(s)
Kahan, BC
Forbes, G
Cro, S
Type
Working Paper
Abstract
Bias can be introduced into clinical trials if statistical methods are chosen based on subjective assessment of the trial data. Pre-specification of the planned analysis approach is essential to help reduce such bias. However, many trials fail to adequately pre-specify their statistical analysis approach, thereby allowing analysts to choose the method which gives the most favourable result. We propose a five-point framework for the pre-specification of the statistical analysis strategy for a clinical trial's primary outcome (the Pre-SPEC framework); this framework is designed to ensure that methods cannot be chosen based on the trial data in order to give a more favourable result. The five points are: (1) Pre-specify before recruitment to the trial begins; (2) Specify a single primary analysis strategy; (3) Plan all aspects of the analysis; (4) Enough detail should be provided so that a third party could independently perform the analysis; and (5) Adaptive analysis strategies should use deterministic decision rules. This framework could be used as a template to help plan an analysis strategy, or to evaluate whether an existing strategy is at risk of bias due to inadequate pre-specification.
Date Issued
2019-07-09
Publisher
arxiv
Is Replaced By
Copyright Statement
© 2019 The Authors.
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/1907.04078v1
Subjects
stat.ME
stat.ME
stat.ME
stat.ME
Notes
18 pages, 3 tables, 0 figures
Publication Status
Published