A data-driven approach to predicting the long-term thermal performance of thermo-active piles
File(s)ICEGT-Data-driven_long-term_thermal_performance.pdf (516.7 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Sanchez Fernandez, Javier
Provost, Ali
Ruiz Lopez, Agustin
Taborda, David
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
The analysis and optimisation of large ground source energy systems involving the use of thermo-active piles requires the ability to predict the thermal performance of these geothermal structures using limited computational resources, as many different configurations need to be tested. Current design methods are either based on empirical expressions, the accuracy of which is necessarily limited, or on thermo-hydraulic modelling which is computationally expensive and hence of difficult integration with optimisation procedures. In this paper, a surrogate model of a single thermo-active pile is established by running multiple thermo-hydraulic finite element analyses using different combinations of thermal ground properties, pipe arrangement, fluid temperature, pile length and pile diameter determined using a Latin hypercube sampling approach. The database of results is then used to train an artificial neural network (ANN), which is shown to produce accurate predictions of the thermal performance of a thermo-active pile given its characteristics and those of the surrounding ground. Given the low computational cost of surrogate models, this approach enables the design optimisation of large systems with greater confidence than previously possible using empirical relationships and a fraction of the resources required by thermo-hydraulic finite element models.
Date Issued
2025-06-17
Date Acceptance
2025-05-30
Citation
2025
Copyright Statement
© Authors: All rights reserved, 2025
Source
3rd International Conference on Energy Geotechnics
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2025-06-17
Finish Date
2025-06-20
Coverage Spatial
Paris, France