Efficiency neglect: why people are pessimistic about the effects of increasing population
File(s)2nd Revised Manuscript EN.docx (185.43 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Dana, Jason
Newman, George E
Voichek, Guy
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In six studies, we find evidence of efficiency neglect: when thinking about the effects of population growth, people intuitively focus on increased demand while neglecting the changes in production efficiency that occur alongside, and often in response to, increased demand. In other words, people tend to think of others solely as consumers, rather than as consumers as well as producers. Efficiency neglect leads to beliefs that the real costs of some consumer goods are rising when they are actually decreasing and may contribute to antiimmigration sentiments because of the fear that increasing local population creates competition for fixed resources. We demonstrate that economic pessimism and antiimmigration sentiments are reduced when people are prompted to consider their own beliefs about increased productivity over time, but are unchanged when they consider their beliefs about increases in demand. Together, these findings shed light on people’s lay economic theories and suggest promising interventions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved)
Date Issued
2024
Date Acceptance
2024-02-05
Citation
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2024, 153 (5), pp.1213-1225
ISSN
0096-3445
Publisher
American Psychological Association
Start Page
1213
End Page
1225
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Volume
153
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2024 American Psychological Association. This is the author’s accepted manuscript made available under a CC-BY licence in accordance with Imperial’s Research Publications Open Access policy (www.imperial.ac.uk/oa-policy)
License URL
Identifier
https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2024-76224-002
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2024-05-01