A physical interpretation of recent tropical cyclone post‐landfall decay
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Phillipson, LM
Toumi, R
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The decay of landfalling tropical cyclones is important to the damage caused. We examine a simple physically based decay model of maximum surface winds driven by frictional turbulent drag and a modification accounting for partial to complete land roughness. The model fits an algebraic decay with a parameter determined by the ratio of the surface drag coefficient to the effective vortex depth. This parameter has been decreasing from 1980 to 2018. There is also a global mean increase of wind speed 24 h after landfall of +1.13 m/s per decade. We cannot exclude the possibility that this trend is driven by the initial wind speed increase, but it is most likely due to a slowing of the decay. This weaker decay amounts to an additional 7 h of gale force winds for a typical Category 1 at landfall.
Date Issued
2021-09-20
Date Acceptance
2021-08-22
Citation
Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, 48 (18), pp.1-9
ISSN
0094-8276
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Start Page
1
End Page
9
Journal / Book Title
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
48
Issue
18
Copyright Statement
© 2021. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article], which has been published in final form at https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094105. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.
Sponsor
Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy
Identifier
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094105
Grant Number
CHN19/11
Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Publication Status
Published online
Date Publish Online
2021-08-29