Deep structural causal models for tractable counterfactual inference
File(s)2006.06485v1.pdf (3.41 MB)
Working paper
Author(s)
Pawlowski, Nick
Castro, Daniel C
Glocker, Ben
Type
Working Paper
Abstract
We formulate a general framework for building structural causal models (SCMs)
with deep learning components. The proposed approach employs normalising flows
and variational inference to enable tractable inference of exogenous noise
variables - a crucial step for counterfactual inference that is missing from
existing deep causal learning methods. Our framework is validated on a
synthetic dataset built on MNIST as well as on a real-world medical dataset of
brain MRI scans. Our experimental results indicate that we can successfully
train deep SCMs that are capable of all three levels of Pearl's ladder of
causation: association, intervention, and counterfactuals, giving rise to a
powerful new approach for answering causal questions in imaging applications
and beyond. The code for all our experiments is available at
https://github.com/biomedia-mira/deepscm.
with deep learning components. The proposed approach employs normalising flows
and variational inference to enable tractable inference of exogenous noise
variables - a crucial step for counterfactual inference that is missing from
existing deep causal learning methods. Our framework is validated on a
synthetic dataset built on MNIST as well as on a real-world medical dataset of
brain MRI scans. Our experimental results indicate that we can successfully
train deep SCMs that are capable of all three levels of Pearl's ladder of
causation: association, intervention, and counterfactuals, giving rise to a
powerful new approach for answering causal questions in imaging applications
and beyond. The code for all our experiments is available at
https://github.com/biomedia-mira/deepscm.
Date Issued
2020-06-11
Date Acceptance
2020-09-25
Publisher
arXiv
Copyright Statement
© 2020 The Author(s)
Sponsor
Commission of the European Communities
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.06485v1
Grant Number
H2020 - 757173
Source
Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)
Subjects
stat.ML
stat.ML
cs.LG
Publication Status
Published