Semiparametric modeling of multiple quantiles
File(s)MQuantile_FINAL.pdf (1.31 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Catania, Leopoldo
Luati, Alessandra
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We develop a semiparametric model to track a large number of quantiles of a time series. The model satisfies the condition of non-crossing quantiles and the defining property of fixed quantiles. A key feature of the specification is that the updating scheme for time-varying quantiles at each probability level is based on the gradient of the check loss function. Theoretical properties of the proposed model are derived such as weak stationarity of the quantile process and consistency of the estimators of the fixed parameters. The model can be applied for filtering and prediction. We also illustrate a number of possible applications such as: (i) semiparametric estimation of dynamic moments of the observables, (ii) density prediction, and (iii) quantile predictions.
Date Issued
2023-12-01
Date Acceptance
2023-11-23
Citation
Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 237 (2, Part B)
ISSN
0304-4076
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Econometrics
Volume
237
Issue
2, Part B
Copyright Statement
Copyright © Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2022.11.002
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
105365
Date Publish Online
2022-12-14