Devising a fairer method for adjusting target scores in interrupted one-day international cricket
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Published version
Author(s)
Hogan, J
Cohen, EAK
Adams, NM
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
One-day international cricket matches face the problem of weather inter-
ruption. In such circumstances, a so-called rain rule is used to decide the
outcome. A variety of approaches for constructing such rules has been pro-
posed, with the Duckworth-Lewis method being preferred in the sport. There
are a number of issues to consider in reasoning about the e
↵
ectiveness of a
rain rule, notably accuracy (does the rule make the right decision?) and
fairness (are both teams treated equally?). We develop an approach that is
a hybrid of resource-based and so-called probability-preserving approaches
and provide empirical evidence that this hybrid method is superior in terms
of fairness while competitive in terms of accuracy.
ruption. In such circumstances, a so-called rain rule is used to decide the
outcome. A variety of approaches for constructing such rules has been pro-
posed, with the Duckworth-Lewis method being preferred in the sport. There
are a number of issues to consider in reasoning about the e
↵
ectiveness of a
rain rule, notably accuracy (does the rule make the right decision?) and
fairness (are both teams treated equally?). We develop an approach that is
a hybrid of resource-based and so-called probability-preserving approaches
and provide empirical evidence that this hybrid method is superior in terms
of fairness while competitive in terms of accuracy.
Date Issued
2017-11-15
Date Acceptance
2017-06-20
Citation
Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis, 2017, 10 (3), pp.745-758
ISSN
2070-5948
Publisher
Università del Salento
Start Page
745
End Page
758
Journal / Book Title
Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis
Volume
10
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
This work is copyrighted by Universit`a del Salento, and is licensed under
a Creative Commons Attribuzione - Non commerciale - Non opere derivate
3.0 Italia License.
For more information see:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/it/
a Creative Commons Attribuzione - Non commerciale - Non opere derivate
3.0 Italia License.
For more information see:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/it/
License URL
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Statistics & Probability
Mathematics
cricket
Duckworth-Lewis
modelling
target adjustment
LIMITED OVERS CRICKET
RAIN RULES
MATCHES
FAIRNESS
Publication Status
Published