Impact of uncertainties on resilient operation of microgrids: A data-driven approach
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In this paper, the impact of uncertainties in loads, renewable generation, market price signals, and event occurrence time on the feasible islanding and survivability of microgrids is analyzed. A data-driven approach is proposed for estimating the maximum deviation level of uncertain parameters dynamically based on historical data. Similarly, fragility curves are utilized for determining the preparation time for the potential events based on the estimated event occurrence time and physical constraints of the microgrid components. In addition, a resilience-oriented demand response program is proposed for enhancing the utilization of renewables and other available resources for reducing the load shedding during the emergency period. Finally, a resilience index is proposed for quantifying the benefits of the proposed method for the resilience-oriented operation of microgrids. In normal mode, the impact of event occurrence time and uncertainty level is analyzed via an adaptive robust optimization method. In emergency mode, 10 000 Monte Carlo scenarios of all the uncertain parameters are generated, and their impact on the operation cost, amount of load shed, and the range of the proposed resilience index are analyzed for each case.
Date Issued
2019-01-10
Date Acceptance
2019-01-06
Citation
IEEE Access, 2019, 7, pp.14924-14937
ISSN
2169-3536
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Start Page
14924
End Page
14937
Journal / Book Title
IEEE Access
Volume
7
Copyright Statement
© 2019 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000458797900059&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Computer Science, Information Systems
Engineering, Electrical & Electronic
Telecommunications
Computer Science
Engineering
Adaptive robust optimization
demand response
fragility curves
microgrid resilience
uncertainty modeling
DEMAND RESPONSE
DISTRIBUTION-SYSTEMS
POWER
ENERGY
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-01-10