Decentralizing money: bitcoin prices and blockchain security
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Published version
Author(s)
Pagnotta, Emiliano
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We address the determination of bitcoin prices and decentralized security. Users forecast the transactional and resale value of holdings, pricing the risk of malicious systemic attacks. Miners contribute resources to protect against attackers, competing for block rewards. Bitcoin’s design leads to multiple equilibria: the same technology and fundamentals are consistent with sharply different price and security levels. Bitcoin’s monetary policy can lead to welfare losses and deviations from quantity theory. Price–security feedback amplifies fundamental shocks’ volatility impact and leads to boom–busts not driven by fundamentals. We show how Bitcoin’s viability versus fiat currency depends on relative acceptability and inflation protection.
Date Issued
2021-01-20
Date Acceptance
2020-11-07
Citation
The Review of Financial Studies, 2021
ISSN
0893-9454
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Journal / Book Title
The Review of Financial Studies
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model)
This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model)
Identifier
https://academic.oup.com/rfs/advance-article/doi/10.1093/rfs/hhaa149/6104899?login=true
Subjects
1401 Economic Theory
1402 Applied Economics
1502 Banking, Finance and Investment
Finance
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2021-01-20