Network epidemiology and plant trade networks
File(s)Network epidemiology and plant trade networks.pdf (470.39 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Pautasso, M
Jeger, MJ
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Models of epidemics in complex networks are improving our predictive understanding of infectious dis-
ease outbreaks. Nonetheless, applying network theory to plant pathology is still a challenge. This overview sum-
marizes some key developments in network epidemiology
that are likely to facilitate its application in the study
and management of plant diseases. Recent surveys have provided much-needed datasets on contact patterns and
human mobility in social networks, but plant trade networks are still understudied. Human (and plant) mobility levels
across the planet are unprecedented—there is thus much potential in the use of network theory by plant health au-
thorities and researchers. Given the directed and hierarchical nature of plant trade networks, there is a need for plant
epidemiologists to further develop models based on undirected and homogeneous networks. More realistic plant health
scenarios would also be obtained by developing epidemic models in dynamic, rather than static, networks. For plant
diseases spread by the horticultural and ornamental trade, there is the challenge of developing spatio-temporal epi-
demic simulations integrating network data. The use of network theory in plant epidemiology is a promising avenue and
could contribute to anticipating and preventing plant health emergencies such as European ash dieback.
ease outbreaks. Nonetheless, applying network theory to plant pathology is still a challenge. This overview sum-
marizes some key developments in network epidemiology
that are likely to facilitate its application in the study
and management of plant diseases. Recent surveys have provided much-needed datasets on contact patterns and
human mobility in social networks, but plant trade networks are still understudied. Human (and plant) mobility levels
across the planet are unprecedented—there is thus much potential in the use of network theory by plant health au-
thorities and researchers. Given the directed and hierarchical nature of plant trade networks, there is a need for plant
epidemiologists to further develop models based on undirected and homogeneous networks. More realistic plant health
scenarios would also be obtained by developing epidemic models in dynamic, rather than static, networks. For plant
diseases spread by the horticultural and ornamental trade, there is the challenge of developing spatio-temporal epi-
demic simulations integrating network data. The use of network theory in plant epidemiology is a promising avenue and
could contribute to anticipating and preventing plant health emergencies such as European ash dieback.
Date Issued
2014-02-18
Date Acceptance
2014-02-18
Citation
AoB Plants, 2014, 6
ISSN
2041-2851
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Journal / Book Title
AoB Plants
Volume
6
Copyright Statement
© The Authors 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Annals of Botany Company.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Crea
tive Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Crea
tive Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000333330500001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Plant Sciences
Ecology
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Complex networks
epidemic threshold
global change
Hymenoscyphus pseudoalbidus
infectious diseases
information diffusion
network structure
Phytophthora ramorum
scale-free
small-world
SMALL-WORLD NETWORKS
INFECTIOUS-DISEASE TRANSMISSION
SCALE-FREE NETWORKS
SOCIAL NETWORK
CONTACT NETWORKS
HUMAN MOBILITY
GLOBAL CHANGE
COLLECTIVE DYNAMICS
MATHEMATICAL-MODELS
COMMUNITY STRUCTURE
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN plu007