Visualizing Europe's demographic scars with coplots and contour plots.
File(s)
Author(s)
Minton, J
Vanderbloemen, L
Dorling, D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We present two enhancements to existing methods for visualizing vital statistics data. Data from the Human Mortality Database were used and vital statistics from England and Wales are used for illustration. The simpler of these methods involves coplotting mean age of death with its variance, and the more complex of these methods is to present data as a contour plot. The coplot method shows the effect of the 20th century's epidemiological transitions. The contour plot method allows more complex and subtle age, period and cohort effects to be seen. The contour plot shows the effects of broad improvements in public health over the 20th century, including vast reductions in rates of childhood mortality, reduced baseline mortality risks during adulthood and the postponement of higher mortality risks to older ages. They also show the effects of the two world wars and the 1918 influenza pandemic on men of fighting age, women and children. The contour plots also show a cohort effect for people born around 1918, suggesting a possible epigenetic effect of parental exposure to the pandemic which shortened the cohort's lifespan and which has so far received little attention. Although this article focuses on data from England and Wales, the associated online appendices contain equivalent visualizations for almost 50 series of data available on the Human Mortality Database. We expect that further analyses of these visualizations will reveal further insights into global public health.
Date Issued
2013-08
Date Acceptance
2013-05-21
Citation
International Journal of Epidemiology, 2013, 42 (4), pp.1164-1176
ISSN
1464-3685
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
1164
End Page
1176
Journal / Book Title
International Journal of Epidemiology
Volume
42
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© The Author 2013. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/
by-nc/3.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial
re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
by-nc/3.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial
re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
License URL
Identifier
PII: dyt115
Subjects
Demography
epidemiological transition
mortality
public health
visualisation
vital statistics
Adolescent
Adult
Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Child
Child, Preschool
Demography
England
Europe
Humans
Infant
Infant, Newborn
Male
Middle Aged
Mortality
Survival Rate
Wales
World War I
World War II
Young Adult
Publication Status
Published