Power calculations for cluster randomised trials (CRTs) with truncated Poisson-distributed outcomes: a motivating example from a malaria vector control trial
Author(s)
Mwandigha, Lazaro M
Fraser, Keith J
Racine, Amy
Mouksassi, Samer
Ghani, Azra C
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background:
Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are increasingly used to study the efficacy of interventions targeted at the population level. Formulae exist to calculate sample sizes for CRTs, but they assume that the domain of the outcomes being considered covers the full range of values of the considered distribution. This assumption is frequently incorrect in epidemiological trials in which counts of infection episodes are right-truncated due to practical constraints on the number of times a person can be tested.
Methods:
Motivated by a malaria vector control trial with right-truncated Poisson-distributed outcomes, we investigated the effect of right-truncation on power using Monte Carlo simulations.
Results:
The results demonstrate that the adverse impact of right-truncation is directly proportional to the magnitude of the event rate, λ, with calculations of power being overestimated in instances where right-truncation was not accounted for. The severity of the adverse impact of right-truncation on power was more pronounced when the number of clusters was ≤30 but decreased the further the right-truncation point was from zero.
Conclusions:
Potential right-truncation should always be accounted for in the calculation of sample size requirements at the study design stage.
Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are increasingly used to study the efficacy of interventions targeted at the population level. Formulae exist to calculate sample sizes for CRTs, but they assume that the domain of the outcomes being considered covers the full range of values of the considered distribution. This assumption is frequently incorrect in epidemiological trials in which counts of infection episodes are right-truncated due to practical constraints on the number of times a person can be tested.
Methods:
Motivated by a malaria vector control trial with right-truncated Poisson-distributed outcomes, we investigated the effect of right-truncation on power using Monte Carlo simulations.
Results:
The results demonstrate that the adverse impact of right-truncation is directly proportional to the magnitude of the event rate, λ, with calculations of power being overestimated in instances where right-truncation was not accounted for. The severity of the adverse impact of right-truncation on power was more pronounced when the number of clusters was ≤30 but decreased the further the right-truncation point was from zero.
Conclusions:
Potential right-truncation should always be accounted for in the calculation of sample size requirements at the study design stage.
Date Issued
2022-06-01
Date Acceptance
2019-06-28
Citation
International Journal of Epidemiology, 2022, 49 (3), pp.954-962
ISSN
0300-5771
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Start Page
954
End Page
962
Journal / Book Title
International Journal of Epidemiology
Volume
49
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Sponsor
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Grant Number
OPP1068440
MR/R015600/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Medicine, Research & Experimental
Research & Experimental Medicine
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
Brighton Hilton Metropole
Date Publish Online
2020-02-03