A real-time flow forecasting with deep convolutional generative adversarial network: Application to flooding event in Denmark
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Published version
Author(s)
Cheng, Meiling
Fang, Fangxin
Navon, IM
Pain, CC
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Real-time flood forecasting is crucial for supporting emergency responses to inundation-prone regions. Due to uncertainties in the future (e.g., meteorological conditions and model parameter inputs), it is challenging to make accurate forecasts of spatiotemporal floods. In this paper, a real-time predictive deep convolutional generative adversarial network (DCGAN) is developed for flooding forecasting. The proposed methodology consists of a two-stage process: (1) dynamic flow learning and (2) real-time forecasting. In dynamic flow learning, the deep convolutional neural networks are trained to capture the underlying flow patterns of spatiotemporal flow fields. In real-time forecasting, the DCGAN adopts a cascade predictive procedure. The last one-time step-ahead forecast from the DCGAN can act as a new input for the next time step-ahead forecast, which forms a long lead-time forecast in a recursive way. The model capability is assessed using a 100-year return period extreme flood event occurred in Greve, Denmark. The results indicate that the predictive fluid flows from the DCGAN and the high fidelity model are in a good agreement (the correlation coefficient
Date Issued
2021-05-01
Date Acceptance
2021-04-19
Citation
Physics of Fluids, 2021, 33 (5), pp.1-14
ISSN
1070-6631
Publisher
American Institute of Physics
Start Page
1
End Page
14
Journal / Book Title
Physics of Fluids
Volume
33
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
© 2021 Author(s). All article content, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0051213
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0051213
License URL
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000677502900002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Mechanics
NEURAL-NETWORK
Physical Sciences
Physics
PHYSICS
Physics, Fluids & Plasmas
PREDICTION
Science & Technology
Technology
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 056602
Date Publish Online
2021-05