Cigarette taxation and price differentials in 195 countries during 2014-2018
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Laverty, Anthony A
Li, Chaorui Raymond
Chang, Kiara C-M
Millett, Christopher
Filippidis, Filippos T
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Raising tobacco prices via increased taxation may be undermined by tobacco industry tactics to keep budget cigarettes on the market. Price differentials between budget and premium cigarettes allow smokers to trade down in the face of average price rises thus attenuating health benefits. This study examines global trends of price differentials and associations with taxation. METHODS: Ecological analysis of country-level panel data of 195 countries' price differentials was performed and compared against total, specific excise, ad valorem and other taxation. Price differentials were expressed as the difference between budget cigarette and premium pack prices (as % of premium pack prices). Two-level linear regression models with repeated measurements (2014, 2016 and 2018) nested within each country assessed the association between country-level taxation structures and price differentials, adjusted for year, geographical region and income group. RESULTS: Worldwide, median price differential between budget and premium 20-cigarette packs was 49.4% (IQR 25.9%-70.0%) in 2014 and 44.4% (IQR 22.5%-69.4%) in 2018 with significant regional variation. The largest price differentials in 2018 were in Africa, with the lowest in Europe. Total taxation was negatively associated with price differentials (-1.5%, 95% CI -2.5% to -0.4% per +10% total taxation) as was specific excise taxation (-2.5%, 95% CI -3.7% to -1.2% per +10% specific excise tax). We found no statistically significant association between ad valorem taxation and price differentials. CONCLUSION: Total levels of taxation and specific excise taxes were associated with smaller price differentials. Implementing high specific excise taxes may reduce price differentials and improve health outcomes.
Date Issued
2023-04-20
Date Acceptance
2021-09-27
Citation
Tobacco Control, 2023, 32 (3), pp.359-365
ISSN
0964-4563
Publisher
BMJ Publishing Group
Start Page
359
End Page
365
Journal / Book Title
Tobacco Control
Volume
32
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34667104
PII: tobaccocontrol-2021-056682
Subjects
smoking caused disease
taxation
tobacco industry
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2021-10-19