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  5. Aleatory uncertainty quantification based on multi-fidelity deep neural networks
 
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Aleatory uncertainty quantification based on multi-fidelity deep neural networks
File(s)
1-s2.0-S0951832024000504-main.pdf (2.68 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Li, Zhihui
Montomoli, Francesco
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Traditional methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ) struggle with the curse of dimensionality when dealing with high-dimensional problems. One approach to address this challenge is to leverage the potent approximation capabilities of deep neural networks (DNNs). However, conventional DNNs often demand a substantial amount of high-fidelity (HF) training data to ensure precise predictions. Unfortunately, the availability of such data is limited due to computational or experimental constraints, primarily driven by associated costs. To mitigate these training expenses, this research introduces multi-fidelity deep neural networks (MF-DNNs), wherein a sub-network is constructed to simultaneously capture both linear and non-linear correlations between HF- and low-fidelity (LF) data. The efficacy of MF-DNNs is initially demonstrated by accurately approximating diverse benchmark functions. Subsequently, the developed MF-DNNs are employed for the first time to simulate the aleatory uncertainty propagation in 1-, 32-, and 100-dimensional contexts, considering either uniform or Gaussian distributions of input uncertainties. The UQ results affirm that MF-DNNs adeptly predict probability density distributions of quantities of interest (QoI) and their statistical moments without significant compromise of accuracy. Furthermore, MF-DNNs are applied to model the physical flow inside an aircraft propulsion system while accounting for aleatory uncertainties originating from experimental measurement errors. The distributions of isentropic Mach number are accurately predicted by MF-DNNs based on the 2D Euler flow field and few experimental data points. In conclusion, the proposed MF-DNN framework exhibits significant promise in addressing UQ and robust optimization challenges in practical engineering applications, particularly when dealing with multi-fidelity data sources.
Date Issued
2024-05
Date Acceptance
2024-01-26
Citation
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2024, 245
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/112462
URL
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2024.109975
DOI
10.1016/j.ress.2024.109975
ISSN
0951-8320
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume
245
Copyright Statement
© 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/).
License URL
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2024.109975
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
109975
Date Publish Online
2024-01-28
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