Interest rate pass-through: mortgage rates, household consumption, and voluntary deleveraging
File(s)Interest rate pass.pdf (679.32 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Exploiting variation in the timing of resets of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that a sizable decline in mortgage payments (up to 50 percent) induces a significant increase in car purchases (up to 35 percent). This effect is attenuated by voluntary deleveraging. Borrowers with lower incomes and housing wealth have significantly higher marginal propensity to consume. Areas with a larger share of ARMs were more responsive to lower interest rates and saw a relative decline in defaults and an increase in house prices, car purchases, and employment. Household balance sheets and mortgage contract rigidity are important for monetary policy pass-through.
Date Issued
2017-11
Date Acceptance
2017-11-01
Citation
American Economic Review, 2017, 107 (11), pp.3550-3588
ISSN
0002-8282
Publisher
American Economic Association
Start Page
3550
End Page
3588
Journal / Book Title
American Economic Review
Volume
107
Issue
11
Copyright Statement
Copyright 2024 American Economic Association. All rights reserved. Di Maggio, Marco, Amir Kermani, Benjamin J. Keys, Tomasz Piskorski, Rodney Ramcharan, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao. 2017. "Interest Rate Pass-Through: Mortgage Rates, Household Consumption, and Voluntary Deleveraging." American Economic Review, 107 (11): 3550–88.
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20141313
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2017-11-01