A framework for complex climate change risk assessment
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Real-world experience underscores the complexity of interactions among multiple drivers of climate change risk and of how multiple risks compound or cascade. However, a holistic framework for assessing such complex climate change risks has not yet been achieved. Clarity is needed regarding the interactions that generate risk, including the role of adaptation and mitigation responses. In this perspective, we present a framework for three categories of increasingly complex climate change risk that focus on interactions among the multiple drivers of risk, as well as among multiple risks. A significant innovation is recognizing that risks can arise both from potential impacts due to climate change and from responses to climate change. This approach encourages thinking that traverses sectoral and regional boundaries and links physical and socio-economic drivers of risk. Advancing climate change risk assessment in these ways is essential for more informed decision making that reduces negative climate change impacts.
Date Issued
2021-04
Date Acceptance
2021-04-01
Citation
One Earth, 2021, 4 (4), pp.489-501
ISSN
2590-3322
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Start Page
489
End Page
501
Journal / Book Title
One Earth
Volume
4
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332221001792?via%3Dihub
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2021-04-23