Emulation of reionization simulations for Bayesian inference of
astrophysics parameters using neural networks
astrophysics parameters using neural networks
File(s)1708.00011v2.pdf (1.3 MB) stx3292.pdf (4.03 MB)
Accepted version
Published version
Author(s)
Schmit, Claude J
Pritchard, Jonathan R
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Next generation radio experiments such as LOFAR, HERA and SKA are expected to
probe the Epoch of Reionization and claim a first direct detection of the
cosmic 21cm signal within the next decade. Data volumes will be enormous and
can thus potentially revolutionize our understanding of the early Universe and
galaxy formation. However, numerical modelling of the Epoch of Reionization can
be prohibitively expensive for Bayesian parameter inference and how to
optimally extract information from incoming data is currently unclear.
Emulation techniques for fast model evaluations have recently been proposed as
a way to bypass costly simulations. We consider the use of artificial neural
networks as a blind emulation technique. We study the impact of training
duration and training set size on the quality of the network prediction and the
resulting best fit values of a parameter search. A direct comparison is drawn
between our emulation technique and an equivalent analysis using 21CMMC. We
find good predictive capabilities of our network using training sets of as low
as 100 model evaluations, which is within the capabilities of fully numerical
radiative transfer codes.
probe the Epoch of Reionization and claim a first direct detection of the
cosmic 21cm signal within the next decade. Data volumes will be enormous and
can thus potentially revolutionize our understanding of the early Universe and
galaxy formation. However, numerical modelling of the Epoch of Reionization can
be prohibitively expensive for Bayesian parameter inference and how to
optimally extract information from incoming data is currently unclear.
Emulation techniques for fast model evaluations have recently been proposed as
a way to bypass costly simulations. We consider the use of artificial neural
networks as a blind emulation technique. We study the impact of training
duration and training set size on the quality of the network prediction and the
resulting best fit values of a parameter search. A direct comparison is drawn
between our emulation technique and an equivalent analysis using 21CMMC. We
find good predictive capabilities of our network using training sets of as low
as 100 model evaluations, which is within the capabilities of fully numerical
radiative transfer codes.
Date Issued
2017-12-23
Date Acceptance
2017-12-15
Citation
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 2017, 475 (1), pp.1213-1223
ISSN
0035-8711
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
1213
End Page
1223
Journal / Book Title
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
Volume
475
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2017 The Author(s) Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Royal Astronomical Society
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/1708.00011v2
Subjects
astro-ph.CO
astro-ph.CO
Notes
12 pages, 13 figures
Publication Status
Published