Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic
File(s)e09186-download.pdf (1.14 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Chretien, J-P
Riley, S
George, DB
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
As of November 2015, the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic that began in West Africa in late 2013 is waning. The human toll includes more than 28,000 EVD cases and 11,000 deaths in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, the most heavily-affected countries. We reviewed 66 mathematical modeling studies of the EVD epidemic published in the peer-reviewed literature to assess the key uncertainties models addressed, data used for modeling, public sharing of data and results, and model performance. Based on the review, we suggest steps to improve the use of modeling in future public health emergencies.
Date Issued
2015-12-08
Date Acceptance
2015-11-19
Citation
eLife, 2015, 4
ISSN
2050-084X
Publisher
eLife Sciences Publications
Journal / Book Title
eLife
Volume
4
Copyright Statement
© 2015, Chretien et al. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.
Sponsor
Wellcome Trust
US Army (US)
National Institute for Health Research
National Institute for Health Research
National Institutes of Health
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000373810300001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Grant Number
093488/Z/10/Z
Contract No. 775696
HPRU-2012-10080
n/a
1U01GM110721-01
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Biology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
Sierra-Leone
Transmission dynamics
Liberia
Strategies
Evolution
Nigeria
Ebola
Epidemiology
Forecasting
Global health
Human
Modeling
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN e09186